The continuing reliefs and bailouts given to states by the Federal
Government reveal the dangerous financial situations of various
sub-national governments in Nigeria.
They show that most states
are not viable and may need to merge to consistently meet their social
and economic obligations to their citizens.
As at the fourth
quarter of 2015, the debt owed by Nigerian state governments to deposit
money banks (DMBs) was in excess of N600bn.
In addition to N338
billion injected by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) as bailout, the
total credit to some 27 financially distressed states was in the
neighbourhood of N1 trillion, an amount analysts say is quite
significant.
The Federal Government is again offering a relief,
which has led to the suspension of further deductions from their monthly
allocations from the Federation Account for an unspecified period.
“There
is no doubt that these states will not survive a day if there is no
money coming from Abuja. How sustainable are these Federal Government
bailouts? Is there any hope that the states will become viable tomorrow?
Do they now have new investors, or do they have plans to survive
without Abuja? These are questions we keep shying away from,” said
Matthew Ibeabuchi, CEO of Abuja-based MD Services Limited.
Adamawa,
Borno State, Ebonyi, Edo, Ekiti, Gombe, Imo, Kebbi, Kogi, Kwara, Niger,
Nasarawa, Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Plateau, Taraba and Zamfara could be
classified as vulnerable, as their IGRs are low and there is little hope
of improving soon on that score. These states depend largely on the
Federal Government allocations and might not survive for six months
without handouts from Abuja.
The vulnerable and fair states include Delta, Benue, Kano, Katsina, Enugu, Kaduna, Rivers, and Sokoto.
States
that are better include Lagos, Akwa Ibom, Ogun, Anambra which have
found some innovative ways of increasing their revenues. Lagos State
with its vantage position as the economic hub of the country ,leveraging
taxes, raking an average of N23 to N24 billion IGR monthly.
“We
enjoy the incentives given to us by Ogun,” Frank Udemba Jacobs,
president of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN told
BusinessDay.
Developmental projects are suffering serious setbacks in many states, while contractors are owed huge amounts of money.
Nigerian states failed to plan during the oil windfall, as corruption and bad leadership stunted planning.
Analysts
trace the precarious finances of nearly all the 36 states to lopsided
Federal structure, absence of fiscal federalism, a sharing formula which
gives the Federal Government undue financial advantage over the
federating units, as well as failure of the states to look inward and
tap into available resources to shore up their IGR and become less
dependent on the centre.
According to a publication by the
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in 2000, “the nature of the fiscal
federalism and revenue allocation places the Federal Government at a
vantage position to control the economy. The economic role of the public
sector in a federal polity is the joint responsibility of all tiers of
government. But in the case of Nigeria, the joint responsibility of
these tiers of government in carrying out the functions of
socio-political, administrative and economic management introduces
complications in the nation’s fiscal system.”
Nigerian states
have enormous mineral resources that are yet untapped. The Nigerian
Investment Promotion Council (NIPC) says the country has over 40 million
tonnes deposits of talc in Niger, Osun, Kogi, Ogun and Kaduna states.
Incidentally, the Raw Materials Research and Development Council
(RMRDC)’s 3,000 tonnes per annum catalytic plant is the only talc plant
in the country. With the right environment and laws, pharmaceuticals and
cosmetic firms can exploit talc, which is an essential input.
There
are over three billion metric tonnes of iron ore deposits in Kogi,
Enugu, Niger States and the Federal Capital Territory. But closure of
Aladja and Ajaokuta Steel complexes has made it difficult for this
resource to be fully exploited.
Uburu and Okposi in Ebonyi State
have large deposits of salt that are yet to be fully developed. Rock
salt is also available in Benue State. Despite these deposits, the
National Salt Company of Nigeria and Royal Salt are the only salt makers
in the country.
Kaolin, used in making ceramics and chalk, is
found in Edo, Plateau, Ogun and Nasarawa, among other states. Feldspar,
silica and quartz, which are also used in ceramics production, are found
in more than 20 states in Nigeria, according to Patrick Oaikhinan, CEO,
Epina Technologies Limited and professor of ceramics engineering.
Other
minerals found in almost all parts of the country are gemstones, coal
(over 600 million tonnes), bitumen (over 42 billion tonnes) and
lead/zinc (over 10 million tonnes), NIPC said.
Seun Olatunji,
president, Association of Metal Exporters of Nigeria, suggested that for
the states to free themselves of the financial difficulty, they would
need to partner the private sectors in their domains to harness solid
minerals within their domains.
Also, Muda Yusuf, director-general
Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, told BusinessDay that there
must be amendment of laws to put the mining sector in the hands of
states.
Benjamin Osisioma, professor of accounting at Nnamdi
Azikiwe University Awka, attributed the current situation to Nigeria’s
warped federal structure.
“What we are reaping now is the result
of our warped federal structure. Many years ago, when Chukwuemeka Ezeife
was governor of Anambra State, I was part of a committee called the
Financial and Economic Advisory Council. We were given a mandate to move
round the state and see how we would identify resources that would
generate enough money and enable it stand on its own.
“We found
out that each of the local governments had two natural resources that
would be the goldmine. Some local governments in Anambra had clay, which
is suitable for ceramics making. So also did other local governments
have peculiar natural resources that could be exploited for
industrialisation. The point is that our states have failed to exploit
agriculture and manufacturing,” Osisioma said.
At the moment, up
to 27 states are finding it difficult to pay workers and are mired in
debt. In 2015, 18 of the 36 states were declared technically broke.
Almost all the states applied for the bailout from the Federal
Government to offset backlogs of deficits.
According to experts,
states have not done enough to create enabling environments for
investors who can set up plants, create jobs and then pay taxes into
their coffers.
Paul Collier, professor of economics and public
policy, recently told the Nigerian government that one way of cushioning
the effect of oil sector woes is to form businesses into clusters,
provide them with the needed infrastructure, and then ask for taxes.
Analysts
also worry that multiple taxation, insecurity and other issues have
failed to convince investors to come to many states, adding that many
governors have also not done enough to sell their states to investors.
They add that the country lacks appropriate strategies with which to
attract solid minerals explorators.
“The raw materials for most
of the industries are here. But there is no appropriate strategy in
place for the development of many industries. In the ceramics industry,
an estimated 1.2 million direct and indirect jobs can be created but the
problem is still lack of strategy. This is why we keep importing
ceramics products of over $400 million from China and Europe every
year,” Oaikhinan said.
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